NVIDIA (NVDA) Surges on Blowout Q3 Earnings and AI Chip Demand

NVIDIA isn't just riding the AI wave—it's shaping it. Valuation demands scrutiny, but growth remains unmatched.

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📌 WHAT HAPPENED

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) delivered a stellar set of results for its fiscal third quarter ended October 29, 2023. Revenue surged 206% year-on-year to $18.12 billion, exceeding analyst forecasts of $16.18 billion. Net income jumped to $9.24 billion, or $3.71 per share on a GAAP basis, up from $680 million or $0.27 per share in the prior year period. Non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $4.02, beating the $3.37 consensus.

The standout was NVIDIA's Data Centre segment, where revenue soared 279% to a record $14.51 billion, fuelled by robust demand for its H100 Tensor Core GPUs used in AI workloads. Revenue from the Gaming segment was $2.86 billion, a 81% y/y increase, showing strength despite macro headwinds.

💡 WHY IT MATTERS

These results confirm NVIDIA’s strategic positioning at the core of the generative AI boom. With hyperscalers, cloud providers, and enterprise customers racing to build AI infrastructure, NVIDIA’s hardware remains essential. CEO Jensen Huang noted, “Accelerated computing and generative AI have hit the tipping point.”

The Street is upbeat as NVIDIA provided strong Q4 revenue guidance of $20 billion, ahead of the $17.86 billion consensus—underscoring expected sustained demand. The results also calm fears around export restrictions to China, which the company says will have limited short-term impact.

📈 INVESTMENT PERSPECTIVE

NVIDIA continues to justify its premium valuation through execution and earnings momentum. Gross margin expanded to 74%, reflecting scale in high-margin AI accelerators. Strong free cash flow of $7.04 billion in Q3 further enhances balance sheet optionality.

However, valuations remain lofty. NVDA trades at over 30x forward earnings, suggesting high expectations are priced in. Still, given its entrenched leadership and sizeable market opportunity in AI, NVIDIA remains a top beneficiary of long-term generative AI adoption.

In the short term, technical traders may look for resistance near the $500 mark, while longer-term investors should watch for signs of AI demand normalising or competitive encroachment.

🎯 BOTTOM LINE

NVIDIA’s results are a resounding affirmation of the acceleration in AI infrastructure buildout. Execution, guidance, and AI tailwinds give the stock continued momentum—albeit with valuation risks to monitor.

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